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Economic news
20.02.2024

Canada’s annual inflation cools more than anticipated in January

Statistics Canada reported on Tuesday the country’s consumer price index (CPI) was unchanged m-o-m in January 2024, following an unrevised 0.3 per cent m-o-m drop in the previous month. 

On a y-o-y basis, Canada’s inflation rate demonstrated a 2.9 per cent gain last month, decelerating sharply from an unrevised 3.4 per cent gain in December 2023. This was the lowest annual inflation rate since June 2023 (+2.8 per cent).

Economists had predicted inflation would rise by 0.4 per cent m-o-m and 3.3 per cent y-o-y in January.

According to the report, the headline CPI’s January flat m-o-m performance reflected increases in 5 of all 8 major components, including alcoholic beverages, tobacco products and recreational cannabis (+1.1 per cent m-o-m), household operations, furnishings and equipment (+0.8 per cent m-o-m), food (+0.7 per cent m-o-m), health and personal care (+0.7 per cent m-o-m), and shelter (+0.3 per cent m-o-m), which were offset by declines in the remaining three components such as clothing and footwear (-3.2 per cent m-o-m), transportation (-1.2 per cent m-o-m) and recreation, education and reading (-0.6 per cent m-o-m).

Meanwhile, the trimmed-mean CPI – the preferred measure of core inflation of the Bank of Canada - jumped 3.4 per cent y-o-y in January, following an unrevised 3.7 per cent y-o-y climb in December. This marked the softest annual advance since August 2021 (+3.3 per cent y-o-y)Economists had forecast a surge of 3.6 per cent y-o-y.

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