Analytické recenze forexového trhu

02.06.2025 12:06

Weekly Focus: Tariffs Reinstated, PMIs, ECB and Nonfarm Payrolls

S&P 500 broad market index futures declined by 0.60% to 5,870 points, falling below the primary upside target range of 5,940–6,040 and reaching key support at 5,840–5,860 points. From this level, the market could either begin a corrective move toward the 5,550–5,650 range or attempt a rebound to retest the 6,040 resistance. At present, there is insufficient evidence to favor one direction over the other. Despite an almost flawless U.S. corporate earnings season, investor attention has shifted toward broader developments. On Friday, the U.S.

30.05.2025 11:05

Weekly Summary: U.S. Court Tariffs Ruling, Inspiring Nvidia, PCE Ahead

Anton Bykov

S&P 500 broad market index futures are trading in positive territory near the 5,900 level this week, having shifted from a downtrend into an uptrend and reaching their primary target at 5,940–6,040 points. Most of this upside move took place on Monday and Tuesday, as traders responded to the delay of new 50% tariffs on EU imports until July 9. The index climbed to 5,927 points. While Wednesday’s release of the FOMC minutes carried the expected hawkish tone, they also revealed rising concern among central bankers about a potential uptick in unemployment.

28.05.2025 11:05

Crypto Week: Vance, Nvidia Reporting, Trump Media and BTC for $300K

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) has gained 1.2% to $108,695 this week, consolidating within the key resistance zone of $108,000–110,000 ahead of a potential breakout. Large investors are rapidly accumulating long positions, with inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs—IBIT from BlackRock, FBTC from Fidelity, and GBTC from Grayscale—surging to $2.46 billion last week, up from $786 million the week before. This aggressive accumulation signals strong confidence, minimizing the likelihood of a deep pullback below $108,000.

26.05.2025 12:05

Weekly Focus: Trump Compromises with the EU, FOMC Minutes, Nvidia and PCE

Anton Bykov

S&P 500 broad market index futures are rising by 1.2% to 5,870 points. However, this rally may not be sustainable, as the benchmark recently dropped to 5,742 on Friday, entering a downward technical formation with primary downside targets at 5,550–5,650 points, or roughly 4.5% lower. Friday’s drop of 1.9% in the S&P 500 was driven by U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of 50% tariffs on the European Union due to stalled trade talks.

23.05.2025 10:05

Weekly Summary: U.S. Stocks in Correction, Treasuries Yields Dangerously Up

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures declined by 1.6% to 5,840 points. Reversal opportunities may be available until next Wednesday. If the benchmark remains above 5,800 points, the chances for further growth will increase. Last week saw the U.S. and China reduce tariffs, U.S. inflation ease, and the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow indicator signal a renewed upward trajectory. However, this week, markets were rattled by Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. sovereign rating and a notably weak Treasury auction. Concerns intensified after U.S. President Donald Trump introduced a large-scale tax plan.

21.05.2025 01:05

Crypto Week: U.S. Rating Downgrade, Senate Vote for Stablecoins, Vance to Bitcoin 2025

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) is up 2.3% to $106,513 this week, retreating slightly from a peak of $107,478. With prices nearing the all-time high of $109,974 and showing no significant pullbacks, market momentum remains strong, suggesting a potential breakthrough above the $108,000–110,000 resistance. Despite a slowdown in inflows to spot Bitcoin ETFs—$786 million last week compared to $1.2 billion and $1.88 billion in the previous two weeks—continued buying at high price levels indicates investor confidence. The brief dip to $102,037 on Monday following Moody’s U.S.

19.05.2025 11:05

Weekly Focus: U.S. Sovereign Rating Downgrade, Fed Officials and PMIs

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures are down by 0.6% to 5,900 points. The timing of this decline suggests a potential reversal, largely attributed to Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, who unsettled investors with hawkish remarks last Thursday. Prior to his speech, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) saw bold inflows totalling $5.5 billion; however, by week’s end, this reversed into net outflows of $523 million.

16.05.2025 12:05

Weekly Summary: Inflation is Down, Powell Stands Out

Anton Bykov

S&P 500 broad market index futures are rising by 4.7% to 5,928 points this week, the highest level since 3 March. The March pullback has been fully reversed, leaving the benchmark just 3.4% below its all-time high of 6,147 points. The index is now trading above the extreme target of 5,900, indicating a potential extension of the current rally towards new primary targets in the 6,150–6,250 range. This extension could be confirmed either by a successful retest of the 5,900 level or continued upward movement.

14.05.2025 12:05

Crypto Week: U.S. and China Lower Tariffs, ETF Massive Inflows, BTC above $100,000

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) is down 0.6% this week to $103,593 after briefly rising by 1.5% to $105,825 on Monday, its highest level since January 30 and close to the all-time high of $109,974. Despite this pullback, BTC remains above the crucial $98,000–100,000 resistance range, which it recently broke through and retested successfully. The retreat appears to be technical in nature, likely due to profit-taking and a reset in leveraged positions, as reflected by $1.45 billion in recorded losses during the decline. Market sentiment remains broadly positive following the first round of renewed U.S.

12.05.2025 12:05

Weekly Focus: U.S.-China Trade Progress, Tariff Inflation and Powell

Anton Bykov

S&P 500 broad market index futures surged by 2.9% this week to 5,826 points, marking the highest level since 6 March. This rally has erased April’s 14% decline and nearly recovered the 5.7% retreat seen in March. The benchmark is now just 5.4% away from its all-time high of 6,147 points. Extreme upside targets in the 5,800–5,900 range have already been reached and may stretch to 5,850–5,950 in June. Although a 2–4% pullback is typically expected before further gains, a continued rise above these levels is possible given the deep April correction.