Analytické recenze forexového trhu

24.02.2025 11:02

Weekly Focus: Nvidia, U.S. GDP and PCE

S&P 500 broad market index futures are up by 0.63% to 6,050 points on Monday, rebounding from last Friday’s unexpected panic following the release of U.S. PMI data. Manufacturing PMI increased to 51.6 points from 51.2, while Services PMI dropped into contraction territory at 49.7 points from 52.9. The benchmark fell by 1.75% to 6,008 points on the news.

21.02.2025 11:02

Weekly Summary: S&P 500 Unlikely to Be Affected by PMIs

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 broad market index futures are trading neutral at 6,113 points this week. The benchmark set a new all-time high at 6,147 points between Monday and Wednesday but retreated on Thursday, erasing gains and declining by 0.48% to 6,084 points. With its weekly upside potential now exhausted, the index is stabilizing and must hold above 5,950 points to maintain its upward trajectory. Next week, the upside will be capped at 6,230–6,250 points, with a potential breakout opening the path toward extreme targets at 6,650–6,670 points. This week saw no major macroeconomic data releases.

19.02.2025 12:02

Crypto Week: BTC under Pressure, LIBRA and New Satoshi Nakamoto Identity

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) is down 1.4% to $95,680 this week, recovering slightly from its low of $93,322. The broader crypto market is under pressure due to an unfavourable macroeconomic environment, with U.S. inflation rising to 3.0% YoY in January—the highest reading in seven months. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell signalled a hawkish stance, indicating that interest rate cuts are unlikely unless inflation shows a sustained decline. However, U.S. President Donald Trump countered this negative sentiment by urging the Fed to cut interest rates.

17.02.2025 12:02

Weekly Focus: Trump, Peace Talks, FOMC Minutes and Fed Choir

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 futures are rising by 0.2% to 6,124 points this week, retreating slightly from the recent high of 6,127 points. This level is close to the all-time high set on January 24, which could be surpassed in the coming days. Despite high U.S. inflation figures last week, the index has added 1.48%. While resistance at 6,130–6,150 points is capping further gains, this level is expected to shift higher to 6,230–6,250 points, marking a potential 2.12% upside. A breakout above 6,250 would open the path to extreme targets at 6,650–6,750 points.

14.02.2025 01:02

Weekly Summary: Trump Reversed Inflation Adverse Effect

Anton Bykov

The S&P 500 broad market index futures are down 0.07% this week, retreating to 6,105 points from 6,125, just shy of the all-time high of 6,127. The next resistance in the current upside formation stands at 6,130–6,150 points, meaning new record highs would be necessary for the rally to continue. This bullish momentum starkly contrasts with the macroeconomic backdrop. U.S. inflation unexpectedly accelerated to 3.0% YoY, the highest reading since June 2024, while core CPI rose to 3.3% YoY against expectations of a decline to 3.1%.

12.02.2025 12:02

Crypto Week: New Tariffs, Amicable SEC, Powell and the Race for Solana-ETF

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) is up 1.1% this week to $96,268, retreating from a high of $98,453 on Tuesday. Market sentiment remains cautious after U.S. President Donald Trump announced another wave of tariffs last Friday without specifying targets. BTC declined 0.8% on the news, following broader market losses. While steel and aluminum imports into the U.S. now face 25% levies, fears of tariffs on the European Union have not materialized, allowing markets to recover slightly. A positive development came from the U.S.

10.02.2025 12:02

Weekly Focus: New Tariffs, Powell Testimony and Inflation

Anton Bykov

The S&P 500 broad market index futures are up 0.23% to 6,043 points, though the benchmark failed to reverse its formation to the upside after U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs. Initially vague on Friday, Trump detailed his plan over the weekend, promising to impose 25% tariffs on aluminium and steel as early as Monday. While investors feared broader trade actions, especially against the European Union, these tariffs are not country-specific, potentially softening their political impact.

07.02.2025 12:02

Weekly Summary: Amazon, Nonfarm Payrolls, and Trump-Xi Talks

Alexander Boltyan

The S&P 500 broad market index futures have risen by 0.83% to 6,081 points this week, recovering from Monday’s 2.1% decline. The benchmark is attempting to regain its upward trajectory but must surpass the 6,100–6,120 resistance range to confirm an upside formation. However, this remains uncertain as no official meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping has taken place, despite Tuesday’s announcement that talks were expected within 28 hours.

05.02.2025 02:02

Crypto Week: Tariffs Poker, Huge Losses and “Big deal”

Anton Bykov

Bitcoin (BTC) is up 1.1% this week to $98,047, rebounding from a sharp 5.8% decline to $91,188 on Monday, its lowest level since January 13. Prices later recovered, reaching a peak of $101,917. Monday sell-offs are becoming a pattern. Last week, BTC tumbled 6.4% on January 27 after Donald Trump announced new tariffs on Colombia. This time, tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China triggered another market-wide sell-off, with BTC dropping 10.8% between Saturday and Monday. Ethereum (ETH) also plunged 37.2% to $2,082. Trump’s stance on tariffs is disappointing for crypto enthusiasts.

03.02.2025 01:02

Weekly Focus: Tariffs Shocks, OPEC+, Amazon, Alphabet and Nonfarm Payrolls

Alexander Boltyan

S&P 500 futures declined by 1.7% to 5,931 points on Monday, recovering slightly from the opening low of 5,908 points. The index reached its lowest level since January 15 in response to the U.S. government's introduction of new tariffs. President Donald Trump followed through on his promise, imposing a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports, with oil imports subject to a 10% tariff. Additionally, a 10% tariff was placed on Chinese exports to the U.S.