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19.12.2023

Canada’s annual inflation unexpectedly holds steady in November

Statistics Canada reported on Tuesday the country’s consumer price index (CPI) inched up 0.1 per cent m-o-m in November, following an unrevised 0.1 per cent m-o-m uptick in the previous month. 

On a y-o-y basis, Canada’s inflation rate rose 3.1 per cent last month, the same pace as in October. 

Economists had expected inflation would slip 0.1 per cent m-o-m but increase 2.9 per cent y-o-y in November.

According to the report, the November monthly gain in the headline CPI mainly reflected increases in prices for shelter (+0.5 per cent m-o-m), food (+0.6 per cent m-o-m) and clothing and footwear (+0.7 per cent m-o-m) that were offset by a drop in transportation costs (-0.6 per cent m-o-m), which, in its turn, was due to a fall in gasoline prices (-3.5 per cent m-o-m). 

Meanwhile, the y-o-y increase in the measure was attributable to gains in 6 of all 8 major components, led by shelter (+5.9 per cent y-o-y), food (+5.0 per cent y-o-y), and alcoholic beverages, tobacco products and recreational cannabis (+4.6 per cent y-o-y). These gains, however, were partly offset by declines in household operations, furnishings and equipment (-1.5 per cent y-o-y), and transportation (-0.1 per cent y-o-y).

The trimmed-mean CPI – the preferred measure of core inflation of the Bank of Canada - climbed 3.5 per cent y-o-y in November, the same pace as in the previous month. 

Economists had forecast an advance of 3.3 per cent y-o-y.

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